Portfolio Update for January 2024
This will be a relatively short post, just to update on the transactions for the month. For the month of January, it is a rather negative month. After the release of the hotter than expected December CPI numbers, it makes investors wonder if inflation is going to be more sticky than expected. On top of that, the crisis at the red sea exacerbate inflation issues, with prices of crude oil inching towards USD 80. All these issues sent conflicting signals regarding the timeline for rate cuts. Markets were expecting rate cuts to begin in March 2024, and the December 2023 rally had priced in this timeline. As such, if rate cuts do not happen in March 2024, that may bring about more selling pressure in the markets as expectations are not met. Such volatility has appeared this month, as more FED officials are hinting that the number of rate cuts will probably be lesser, and only happen later. Currently, expectations have postponed to May 2024 timeline ...